Fed to decide on rate hike, testing optimism about a ‘soft landing’ as inflation rises again

Fed to decide on rate hike, testing optimism about a ‘soft landing’ as inflation rises again
Fed to decide on rate hike, testing optimism about a ‘soft landing’ as inflation rises again
Bloomberg Creative/Getty Images

(WASHINGTON) — Upon announcing the Federal Reserve’s latest rate-hike decision in July, Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke at a lectern in Washington D.C. for 33 minutes before he dropped a bombshell: The central bank’s staff had abandoned its forecast of a recession.

Staff at the Fed, in other words, now expect the central bank to achieve a “soft landing,” an outcome in which the U.S. brings down inflation while avoiding a downturn.

As the Fed stands poised to announce another rate-hike decision on Wednesday, however, that glide path has run into turbulence.

Inflation has ticked up for two consecutive months, reversing some of the progress made in the effort to bring price increases down to normal levels. Meanwhile, oil prices have soared, threatening to push inflation even higher.

On top of that, a strike launched by thousands of autoworkers on Friday risks choking off the supply of cars and elevating prices, further endangering the inflation fight, economists previously told ABC News.

The move made by the central bank on Wednesday will help determine whether price increases resume their slowdown and the economy sails past a recession, or if instead stubbornly high inflation lingers and the risk of a downturn deepens.

Economists surveyed by Blooomberg expect the Fed to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged, affording policymakers time to weigh their next move as a rapid series of previous rate hikes takes full effect.

“The Fed wants to get more information to calibrate when exactly they want to stop raising rates,” William English, a professor of finance at Yale University and a former Fed official, told ABC News. “There’s a lot of uncertainty.”

Across Wall Street and C-suites, observers will closely eye scheduled remarks from Powell on Wednesday for indication about possible additional rate hikes in the coming months or an eventual lowering of rates.

Inflation stands well below its peak last year of over 9% but remains more than a percentage point higher than the Federal Reserve’s target rate.

The Fed achieved the cooldown with its most aggressive set of rate hikes in more than two decades, making borrowing costs more expensive for everything from homes to boats in an effort to choke off demand and ease price hikes.

By slowing the economy, the Fed risks pushing it into a recession.

“If the economy slows a lot it could topple into a recession without the Fed intending it,” English said. “Its control of those things is not very precise.”

While the economy has slowed in recent months, it has proven resilient.

Hiring held steady in August with the U.S. economy adding 187,000 jobs, despite a sharp downward revision of job growth estimates in June and July that lowered those totals by a combined 110,000 jobs, Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed.

The unemployment rate inched up to 3.8% in August but remains near a 50-year low, the data showed.

A major upward revision of government data showed that gross domestic product increased at a 2% annualized rate for a three-month period ending in March — a sizable jump from the previous estimate of 1.3%.

Still, U.S. economic growth over the first three months of this year was slower than the 2.6% growth in the previous quarter. In turn, that performance was down from 3.2% growth in the quarter before that.

An economy demonstrating more strength than expected bodes well for workers seeking to extract higher wages from employers to offset losses incurred by the recent bout of inflation, Andrew Levin, an economics professor at Dartmouth College and a former Fed economist, told ABC News.

But the demand for pay increases could put pressure on companies that may feel the need to charge higher prices as a means of addressing ballooning labor costs. In turn, that dynamic could keep inflation stubbornly high and undercut the positive outlook at the Fed, Levin added.

“The problem here is that if the Fed is too optimistic about a soft landing and the plane doesn’t land, they’re going to have to change course and that could be painful,” Levin said. “These are difficult decisions for the Fed.”

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

Latin-owned businesses to support during Hispanic Heritage Month and beyond

Latin-owned businesses to support during Hispanic Heritage Month and beyond
Latin-owned businesses to support during Hispanic Heritage Month and beyond
BojanMirkovic/Getty Images

(NEW YORK) — According to the U.S. Small Business Administration, there are close to five million Hispanic-owned businesses in the United States that contribute over $800 billion to the U.S. economy annually.

To celebrate National Hispanic Heritage Month, ABC News’ Good Morning America is spotlighting Latin-owned businesses.

Scroll down to support five Latina and Latino entrepreneurs.

It’s A 10 Haircare

Carolyn Aronson is the founder and CEO of It’s A 10 Haircare.

“Discovering my Puerto Rican heritage unlocked a hidden part of my identity, making me feel at home. The traditions I encountered filled me with joy and influenced my personal beauty style,” Aronson told Good Morning America.

“These unique qualities set me apart and led me to create It’s A 10, a brand that champions inclusion, celebrates beauty’s richness, maintains quality, and supports Latin-owned businesses in our mission to empower the community,” Aronson added.

Pītusa

Founded in 2010 by Clara Lago Rashidian, Pītusa produces apparel with a focus on sustainability.

“Each design is steeped in Peruvian authenticity, a reflection of the vibrant world I’ve come to adore. I also hold commitment to supporting Latin-owned businesses,” Lago Rashidian told GMA. “By choosing my brand and others like it, you’re not only embracing unique Peruvian influences co-designed by Peruvian designers and produced in Peru, but also contributing to the strength and prosperity of our Hispanic and Latin communities.”

Guayakí Yerba Mate

Argentinian entrepreneur Alex Pryor co-founded Guayakí Yerba Mate in 1996 with the goal of bringing yerba mate to more people.

Since then, the caffeinated drink has been spotted in refrigerators all over social media.

NotCo

Founded in Chile, NotCo is a plant-based food tech company.

“As a Chilean native, NotCo’s Latin identity will always be present in everything we do. It is what makes us who we are,” co-founder and CEO Matias Muchnick told GMA.

NotCo’s vegan milk and chocolate milk are both available on Amazon.

Daybird

Daybird is a women-owned brand that combines makeup with skin care.

First-generation Mexicana Whitney McElwain co-founded the brand to rewrite traditional beauty standards.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

Walmart, Amazon and Target kick off holiday deals early: Here’s what to know

Walmart, Amazon and Target kick off holiday deals early: Here’s what to know
Walmart, Amazon and Target kick off holiday deals early: Here’s what to know
Nipitpon Singad / EyeEm/Getty Images

(NEW YORK) — You can now plan to kick off your holiday shopping as early as October!

Following Amazon’s announcement of Prime Big Deal Days, Walmart and Target have released information on their adjacent sales, all kicking off the week of Oct. 1.

To help make your shopping life easier, we complied everything we know about each sale below:

Walmart

Walmart has announced its Walmart Deals – Holiday Kickoff savings event will offer deals on the bestselling holiday gifts across electronics, home, fashion, toys and more.

When is Walmart Deals – Holiday Kickoff event running?

The shopping extravaganza starts Monday, Oct. 9 with deals running through Thursday, Oct. 12.

Where can customers shop deals?

According to a press release, “Customers can shop the ‘Walmart Deals – Holiday Kickoff’ savings event on walmart.com, where Walmart is making it easier than ever to find the perfect gifts and discover new items with hyper-personalized content and a curated shopping experience that makes the hunt for the perfect item fast and fun.”

Target

This year, Target is bringing back Target Circle Week.

When is Target Circle Week running?

Target’s holiday shopping sale event is happening Oct.1-7.

What deals can you plan to see?

Target will be offering discounts on thousands of items, including trending gifts, seasonal items and everyday essentials. Also, Target Circle members can score up to 40% off in savings on select items.

Amazon

As mentioned, Amazon recently announced its Prime Big Deal Days event.

What is Prime Big Deal Days?

Prime Big Deal Days is a shopping event that will give Prime members exclusive access to deals on Amazon.com across all categories, including fashion, home, kitchen products and more.

When is Prime Big Deal Days?

Amazon announced Monday that Prime Big Deal Days will take place Oct. 10-11.

What should I shop during the event?

Amazon shared that during past sale events, its top-selling categories in the U.S. were home goods, fashion, beauty and Amazon-branded devices. Like Prime Day, products will be broken down into categories such as Top Fashion Deals, Top Creator Picks and more.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

These states are where it will cost you the most and the least to raise kids

These states are where it will cost you the most and the least to raise kids
These states are where it will cost you the most and the least to raise kids
Catherine McQueen/Getty Images

(NEW YORK) — While the joy of raising a child is priceless, the actual dollars and cents cost of it all is sharply on the rise, a new study shows.

The average cost of raising a child rose nearly 20% in the United States from 2016 to 2021, according to a study released this month by LendingTree, an online loan company.

In 2021, the most recent data available, the average cost of essential expenses for a child — things like child care, clothing and food — totaled $21,681, according to Lending Tree.

Five years earlier, in 2016, that cost was $18,167.

In today’s market, the estimated cost of raising a child from birth to age 18 in the U.S. is $237,482, according to Lending Tree.

The company’s study took into account seven factors when it came to calculating the cost of a child: food, rent, child care, apparel, transportation, health care premiums and tax exemptions.

They did not include non-essential things like sports, after-school classes and other enrichment activities.

In no surprise to many parents, child care remains the biggest driver of rising costs, costing U.S. families $11,752 per year, on average, an increase of 7% from five years ago.

Another sharply rising cost for parents is transportation, which ballooned 276% over the past five years, according to Lending Tree, likely due to the rising cost of gas.

Food and health insurance are also in the top five costs for raising kids, with both also having increased over the past five years.

The most and least expensive places to raise kids

As with most costs, where you live in the United States impacts how much it costs to raise a child.

Mississippi is the least expensive state in which to raise kids, according to Lending Tree, coming in at an average of $15,555 per year.

Two other states in the South — Alabama and Arkansas — follow Mississippi closely in being the cheapest places to parent in the U.S, with an average cost of $16,192 and $16,284, respectively.

Lending Tree noted that the least expensive states to have kids each also had the lowest day care costs for infants, averaging at less than $8,000 per year.

While Hawaii is considered paradise for its beauty and weather, it ranked as the most expensive state to raise a child, at an average cost of $30,506 per year, and a total of $314,529 over 18 years, according to Lending Tree.

Washington, D.C., ranked as the second most expensive place for parents, with an average cost of $30,097 per child per year.

The state of Washington came in third most expensive with an average cost of $28,116 per year, according to Lending Tree.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

UAW president sets Friday deadline for more strike action unless ‘serious progress’ made

UAW president sets Friday deadline for more strike action unless ‘serious progress’ made
UAW president sets Friday deadline for more strike action unless ‘serious progress’ made
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

(DETROIT) — United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain said the union’s strike will expand if “serious progress” isn’t made in the contract negotiations with automakers by Friday.

Fain said in a Monday evening update posted on social media that the deadline for greater progress in the union’s talks with Ford, GM and Stellantis is Friday, Sept. 22, at noon.

“That will mark more than a week since our first members walked out. And that will mark more than a week of the ‘big three’ failing to make progress in negotiations toward reaching a deal that does right by our members,” he said in his video message.

“Autoworkers have waited long enough to make things right at the ‘big three.’ We’re not waiting around, and we’re not messing around,” he added.

On Monday, the labor strike against the three largest motor vehicle manufacturers in the United States carried into a fourth day amid ongoing negotiations to reach a deal.

The UAW, which represents nearly 150,000 American autoworkers, launched a strike early Friday against General Motors, Ford and Stellantis — often called the “big three.” Almost 13,000 workers walked out of three auto plants in Michigan, Missouri and Ohio. The union is utilizing a “stand-up” strike method to target specific plants and add to the list if a deal isn’t reached.

The UAW held talks with Ford on Saturday, GM on Sunday and planned to meet with Stellantis on Monday, a union source told ABC News. The conversations with Ford were “reasonably productive,” the source said.

Sticking points in negotiations were wage increases and the length of the workweek. The union is demanding a 46% pay increase combined over the four-year duration of a new contract, as well as a 32-hour workweek at 40-hour pay. So far, all three of the Detroit-based companies have each put forward proposals that offered workers a 20% pay increase over the life of the agreement but preserved a 40-hour workweek.

After the unprecedented strike began on Friday, Ford laid off 600 workers who assemble cars at a plant in Michigan. Workers in the paint department at a nearby plant are out on strike, leaving the assembly workers without adequate parts since the parts require paint before they can be put together into cars, a company spokesperson told ABC News.

President Joe Biden said Friday he is deploying acting Labor Secretary Julie Su and White House senior adviser Gene Sperling to Detroit to offer their support for the parties in reaching an agreement.

Economists previously told ABC News that a strike could result in billions of dollars in losses, disruption to the supply chain and other financial consequences.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

Clorox warns cyberattack could lead to product delays, shortages

Clorox warns cyberattack could lead to product delays, shortages
Clorox warns cyberattack could lead to product delays, shortages
Brandon Bell/Getty Images

(NEW YORK) — An August cyberattack on Clorox caused “wide-scale disruptions” in its operations, which could mean product delays and shortages, according to a securities filing Monday.

The Clorox Company, known for its sanitizing wipes and brands such as PineSol, FreshStep cat litter, and Hidden Valley Ranch, said they detected “unauthorized activity on some of its Information Technology” on Aug. 14. The company took steps to “remediate the activity, including taking certain systems offline,” according to the filing.

The activity — deemed a cyberattack — damaged portions of the company’s IT infrastructure, “which caused wide-scale disruptions of Clorox’s operations,” according to the filing. That may mean an impact on Clorox products hitting shelves.

Clorox said it’s repairing the infrastructure damaged in the cyberattack and reintegrating the systems it proactively took offline. Clorox said it will begin transitioning back to normal automated order processing the week of Sept. 25.

“Clorox has already resumed production at the vast majority of its manufacturing sites and expects the ramp up to full production to occur over time. At this time, the Company cannot estimate how long it will take to resume fully normalized operations,” the company said in its filing.

Clorox anticipates its profits will take a hit as a result of the cyberattack, too.

“Due to the order processing delays and elevated level of product outages, the Company now believes the impact will be material on Q1 financial results,” the filing says. “It is premature for the Company to determine longer-term impact, including fiscal year outlook, given the ongoing recovery.”

The company said Monday they are “still evaluating the extent of the financial and business impact.”

It is not yet clear who carried out the cyberattack.

Clorox has not yet said which brands were impacted in the cyberattack.

The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, which serves as the Department of Homeland Security’s cyber arm, did not comment on the breach, and instead referred ABC News to Clorox.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

UAW strike enters fourth day amid negotiations with General Motors, Ford, Stellantis

UAW president sets Friday deadline for more strike action unless ‘serious progress’ made
UAW president sets Friday deadline for more strike action unless ‘serious progress’ made
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

(DETROIT) — A labor strike against the three largest motor vehicle manufacturers in the United States carried into a fourth day on Monday amid ongoing negotiations to reach a deal.

The United Auto Workers, which represents nearly 150,000 American autoworkers, launched a strike early Friday against General Motors, Ford and Stellantis — the so-called Big Three. Almost 13,000 workers walked out of three auto plants in Michigan, Missouri and Ohio. The union is utilizing a “stand-up” strike method to target specific plants and add to the list if a deal isn’t reached.

The UAW held talks with Ford on Saturday, GM on Sunday and plans to meet with Stellantis on Monday, a union source told ABC News. The conversations with Ford were “reasonably productive,” the source said.

Sticking points in negotiations were wage increases and the length of the workweek. The UAW demanded a 46% pay increase combined over the four-year duration of a new contract, as well as a 32-hour workweek at 40-hour pay. GM and Ford put forward proposals last Thursday that offered workers a 20% pay over the life of the agreement, while Stellantis’ proposal included a total 17.5% pay increase. The offers from all three of the Detroit-based companies preserved a 40-hour workweek.

After the unprecedented strike began on Friday, Ford laid off 600 workers who assemble cars at a plant in Michigan. Workers in the paint department at a nearby plant are out on strike, leaving the assembly workers without adequate parts, since the parts require paint before they can be put together into cars, a company spokesperson told ABC News.

President Joe Biden said Friday he is deploying acting Labor Secretary Julie Su and White House senior adviser Gene Sperling to Detroit to offer their support for the parties in reaching an agreement.

Economists previously told ABC News that a strike could result in billions of dollars in losses, disruption to the supply chain and other financial consequences.

ABC News’ Meredith Deliso and Max Zahn contributed to this report.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

UAW president reacts to automakers’ temporary layoffs of non-striking employees: ‘Their plan won’t work’

UAW president reacts to automakers’ temporary layoffs of non-striking employees: ‘Their plan won’t work’
UAW president reacts to automakers’ temporary layoffs of non-striking employees: ‘Their plan won’t work’
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

(DETROIT) — The head of the United Auto Workers said plans by two automakers to temporarily lay off non-striking employees “won’t work,” as the unprecedented strike enters the second day.

The UAW, which represents nearly 150,000 autoworkers, started a strike early Friday morning against the Big Three automakers — General Motors, Ford and Stellantis. Nearly 13,000 workers walked out of three auto plants in Michigan, Missouri and Ohio. The union is utilizing a “stand-up” strike method to target specific plants and add to the list if a deal isn’t reached.

Hours after the strike started, Ford announced it told 600 workers who assemble cars at a plant in Michigan not to report to work that day, citing the “knock-on effects” of the strike. Workers in the paint department at a nearby plant are out on strike, leaving the assembly workers without adequate parts, since the parts require paint before they can be put together into cars, the company said in a statement to ABC News.

“Our production system is highly interconnected, which means the UAW’s targeted strike strategy will have knock-on effects for facilities that are not directly targeted for a work stoppage,” Ford said.

GM also said on Friday it plans to idle 2,000 workers at its Fairfax assembly plant in Kansas as soon as early next week due to a “ripple effect” of the strike at its Wentzville assembly plant in Missouri. The strike will mean a shortage of “critical stampings” supplied by Wentzville to Fairfax, GM said.

“We have said repeatedly that nobody wins in a strike, and that effects go well beyond our employees on the plant floor and negatively impact our customers, suppliers and the communities where we do business,” GM said in a statement. “What happened to our Fairfax team members is a clear and immediate demonstration of that fact.”

Stellantis has not announced any plans to lay off workers amid the strikes.

UAW president Shawn Fain responded to the announcements on Saturday.

“Let’s be clear: if the Big Three decide to lay people off who aren’t on strike, that’s them trying to put the squeeze on our members to settle for less,” Fain said in a statement. “With their record profits, they don’t have to lay off a single employee. In fact, they could double every autoworker’s pay, not raise car prices, and still rake in billions of dollars.”

“Their plan won’t work,” the statement continued. “The UAW will make sure any worker laid off in the Big Three’s latest attack will not go without an income. We’ll organize one day longer than they can and go the distance to win economic and social justice at the Big Three.”

A UAW source told ABC News on Saturday afternoon the union had “reasonably productive conversations with Ford today.”

Economists previously told ABC News a strike could result in billions of dollars in losses, disruption to the supply chain and other financial consequences.

Sticking points in negotiations were wage increases and the length of the workweek.

President Joe Biden said Friday he is deploying acting Labor Secretary Julie Su and White House senior adviser Gene Sperling to Detroit to offer their support for the parties in reaching an agreement.

ABC News’ Alexandra Hutzler contributed to this report.

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

Soaring CEO pay commands spotlight in UAW strike against Big 3 US automakers

Soaring CEO pay commands spotlight in UAW strike against Big 3 US automakers
Soaring CEO pay commands spotlight in UAW strike against Big 3 US automakers
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

(DETROIT) — A strike launched by thousands of autoworkers against the Big 3 U.S. automakers early Friday morning has spotlighted an issue raised by employees across the economy: The gap between CEO and worker pay.

The United Auto Workers, or UAW, has demanded a 46% raise for workers over the next four years. The proposed pay increase slightly exceeds the combined 40% increase in CEO compensation over the past four years at the Big 3 — General Motors, Ford and Stellantis, which owns Jeep and Chrysler, the union said.

Over that same period, the average pay for autoworkers at those companies rose 6%, the union said.

“While the Big 3 executives and shareholders got rich, UAW members, the workers, got left behind,” UAW President Shawn Fain said on Facebook Live last month, signaling a message that has pervaded his public statements in recent weeks.

The two sides remain far apart on the issue of pay increases. General Motors and Ford put forward proposals on Thursday that offer workers a 20% pay increase over the 4-year duration of the agreement; the latest offer from Stellantis includes a pay increase of 17.5% over the duration of the contract.

In a statement to ABC News, a General Motors spokesperson criticized the strike and touted the pay hike offered by the company.

“We are disappointed by the UAW leadership’s actions, despite the unprecedented economic package GM put on the table, including historic wage increases and manufacturing commitments,” the spokesperson said. “We will continue to bargain in good faith with the union to reach an agreement as quickly as possible for the benefit of our team members, customers, suppliers and communities across the U.S.”

Ford did not immediately respond to ABC News’ request for comment on the CEO-to-worker pay gap.

On Friday, Ford laid off 600 workers who assemble cars at a plant in Michigan, the company told ABC News in a statement. Workers in the paint department at a nearby plant are out on strike, leaving the assembly workers without adequate parts, since the parts require paint before they can be put together into cars, the company said.

“Our production system is highly interconnected, which means the UAW’s targeted strike strategy will have knock-on effects for facilities that are not directly targeted for a work stoppage,” Ford said.

Ford President and CEO Jim Farley said last week in a statement, “Overall, this offer is significantly better than what we estimate workers earn at Tesla and foreign automakers operating in the U.S.”

Stellantis declined ABC News’ request for comment.

While the CEOs at the Big 3 U.S. automakers enjoyed a significant increase in combined compensation over the past four years, the pay hikes among the chief executives differed substantially, according to a data analysis from research firm Equilar reviewed by ABC News.

Ford paid Farley 21% more last year than the company’s previous CEO received in 2018; while General Motors paid CEO Mary Barra 34% more over that period, the data showed.

However, Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares received about 24% less last year than his predecessor did in 2018, the data found.

Equilar identified a different total compensation for Tavares than the UAW because Equilar adjusted the reporting methodology for the Amsterdam-based company to match the one undertaken by Ford and General Motors, Equilar director of research Courtney Yu told ABC News in a statement.

“These workers are physically making the cars every day, watching the cars get built and seeing their actual contribution to the productivity of the firm,” Lisa LaViers, a professor at Tulane University’s Freeman School of Business who studies executive pay and its effect on workers, told ABC News.

“When it’s the case that they’re seeing their CEO — who obviously doesn’t make the cars — benefit from their physical manual labor at a higher rate than they’re benefitting from it, you can understand how that hurts,” LaViers added.

The disparity between the rate of pay increases in recent years between workers and CEOs at the Big 3 U.S. automakers in recent years has helped contribute to a widening of the gap in pay between the companies’ top executives and their typical workers.

Last year, Barra, of General Motors, received compensation totaling $29 million while a median worker at the company received about $80,000, amounting to a ratio of 362-to-1, Securities and Exchange Commission filings show.

Farley, of Ford, received compensation last year totaling $21 million while a median employee at the company received about $75,000, resulting in a ratio of 281-to-1, the filings show.

The surge in CEO pay across the U.S. economy owes in part to the overall growth in size of major U.S. corporations, which increases the scale of compensation on offer for a chief executive, LaViers of Tulane University said.

In addition, strong CEOs command high compensation because they have an outsized impact on the success of a given company and, in turn, are in high demand, LaViers added.

“You can think about it like an NFL quarterback,” LaViers said. “Tom Brady is worth a lot of money and Tom Brady has shown it. These superstar CEOs are similar.”

When a company provides a large compensation package for its CEO, however, the firm can still offer pay raises for its workers, LaViers added.

“What’s interesting is that the United Auto Workers is not negotiating for lower CEO pay,” LaViers said. “They don’t care what the CEO gets paid, necessarily, as long as they are also getting paid commensurate with them.”

Copyright © 2023, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.

Some small businesses caught in culture wars face financial woes, employee fears: ‘Never been as bad’

Some small businesses caught in culture wars face financial woes, employee fears: ‘Never been as bad’
Some small businesses caught in culture wars face financial woes, employee fears: ‘Never been as bad’
Marko Geber/Getty Images

(DALLAS) — When Republican Texas Gov. Greg Abbott declared a war on “woke” earlier this year with a proposal that would require booksellers to rate texts before selling them to school districts, he caught the attention of a small wholesaler in St. Louis who feared that his industry would be decimated.

“We’re not book raters — we’re booksellers,” said Benjamin Conn, the owner of Classroom Library Company and the president of the Educational Book and Media Association, a group of 150 distributors nationwide that sell books to schools. “It would be like if Paramount came out with a movie and every theater had to rate it themselves.”

The trade association hired a lobbyist, who negotiated with Texas officials on behalf of an alternative version of the measure, Conn told ABC News, but to no avail. In response to a lawsuit brought by booksellers, a federal judge last month temporarily blocked Texas from enforcing the law, leaving the ultimate regulation uncertain.

“It has never been as bad as it is now,” Conn said, noting that Texas schools account for as much as $40 million in revenue for some wholesalers and the move could prompt adoption in other states. “It’s a mess. This has ground business to a halt.”

In a statement, a spokesperson for Abbott told ABC News that he has led Texas to a period of strong economic growth, in part through his support for small businesses.

“Small businesses are a key part of the Texas economic juggernaut, with 99.8% of Texas businesses being small and employing nearly half of all working Texans,” Spokesperson Andrew Mahaleris said.

While Fortune 500 corporations like Disney, Target and Anheuser-Busch draw attention as high-profile targets of anti-LGBTQ+ backlash, a lesser known but wide-ranging set of small businesses has been thrust into the nation’s culture wars.
MORE: Sales slumps at Target and Bud Light may fuel more boycotts, experts say

A slew of restrictive local and state laws, as well as a far-right consumer movement, have damaged employee morale or threatened the bottom line at small businesses from abortion clinics to beer distributors to apparel makers to nightclubs, according to ABC News’ interviews with business owners.

The dire threat faced by some small business people gained prominence earlier this month when California clothing store owner and designer Laura Ann Carleton was killed allegedly by a gunman who police say tore down a Pride flag outside her business and shot her after making homophobic remarks toward her.

“It has sent shockwaves,” Justin Nelson, the co-founder and president of the National LGBT Chamber of Commerce, told ABC News. “These companies pay their employees who are community members; they pay taxes. They’re a part of the small-business engine that makes the local, state and national economy run.”

The U.S. plays host to 1.4 million LGBTQ-owned small businesses, according to a report released by the National LGBT Chamber of Commerce last year.

Overall, the U.S. economy features more than 33 million small businesses, which make up 99.9% of all companies based in the country, the Small Business Administration found in May.

More than 520 anti-LGBTQ+ bills have been introduced in statehouses this year, including a record 70 laws that have taken effect, the advocacy group Human Rights Campaign said in May. Those laws include four measures censoring school curricula and two measures targeting drag performances, HRC said.

While the laws primarily address social issues, the measures often place a burden on businesses in related industries that must comply with the new regulations, Michael Morris, a professor at the McKenna Center for Human Development and Global Business at the University of Notre Dame, told ABC News.

Small businesses, which typically lack the financial buffer enjoyed by their larger counterparts, face an ongoing challenge as they recover from a pandemic-induced economic downturn amid the twin pressures of high borrowing costs and elevated inflation, Morris added.

“Businesses are in trouble and small businesses are especially in trouble in terms of navigating all of that,” Morris told ABC News, adding that regulatory laws, whether put forward by Democrats or Republicans, can create added costs for small businesses. “Getting pulled into social issues is not a luxury that they have.”

Pearl Bar, the only lesbian bar in Houston, Texas, according to owner Julie Mabry, was denied an insurance policy in March in part due to risks over the legal liability associated with a proposed state law prohibiting the performance of sexually explicit performances, such as drag shows.

“They looked at us as high-risk,” Mabry told ABC News. “It’s a risk because of this narrative that has been caused by politicians.”

“If we have far-right people pull up in front of Pearl and call the police because of a drag king, will they get away with it?” she added, using a term for women drag performers who take on masculine characteristics. Mabry fears that accusers could claim that a child walking past the bar witnessed a drag performer, she said.

The bar, which employs 12 people and brought in $1.6 million in revenue last year, has also faced $50,000 in annual added security costs amid the recent anti-LGBTQ+ backlash, such as extra security guards and new metal detectors, Mabry said.

Pearl Bar paid $280,000 in state taxes over a recent one-year period, Mabry added, saying the restrictive laws could end up hurting the state government’s finances.

“How can you be a good politician and think about the revenue in your state, when you’re suffocating these businesses?” Mabry said.

A public letter issued by HRC condemning the anti-LGBTQ laws has been signed by more than 330 businesses.

“For years, business leaders have shared the detrimental business impacts of policies and debates that exclude LGBTQ people from full participation in daily life, including negative impacts on workforce, recruitment, productivity, and bottom line,” the letter says.

In addition to the rise of state-level anti-LGBTQ laws, a growing consumer backlash against large corporations like Target and Anheuser-Busch has caused financial challenges for some small businesses.

A monthslong consumer boycott against Bud Light over a promotion from a trans influencer on Instagram has hammered hundreds of independent, often family-owned distributors that sell and deliver Bud Light to stores, bars and restaurants.

Anheuser-Busch InBev did not respond to ABC News’ previous request for comment about the losses at independent distributors.

Meanwhile, a similar boycott against Target, as well as anti-LGBTQ harassment, prompted the company to remove some Pride products from stores in May.

The move angered some artists and design companies that considered it a retreat from the company’s longstanding support of the LGBTQ community that could further embolden extremists and imperil vulnerable people.

Rob Smith, the founder and CEO of The Phluid Project, an LGBTQ-owned clothing company that has placed products in Target stores for three years, said he has “never seen anything in my lifetime” like the current backlash.

Target did not remove any products made by The Phluid Project, Smith noted. “We had no issues with Target,” he told ABC News.

However, the rise of anti-LGBTQ sentiment has hurt employee morale at his company, he added. “I’d lie if I didn’t say we’re deeply discouraged to see so much hatred,” he said. “But we’re bright people and we talk through it and we support each other.”

Large corporations that attempt to strike a conciliatory tone with anti-LGBTQ protesters risk harming small businesses and everyday people alike, Smith said.

“In general, I think any reaction to hate or violence and giving any room for a victory to those people is damaging in so many ways,” Smith said. “Damaging to a brand, damaging to a community, damaging to a society.”

Target did not immediately respond to a request for comment. In a statement, in May, Target said it removed some products from this year’s Pride collection because the company “experienced threats impacting our team members’ sense of safety and well-being while at work.”

“Our focus now is on moving forward with our continuing commitment to the LGBTQIA+ community and standing with them as we celebrate Pride Month and throughout the year,” the company said in the statement.

To be sure, many of the tens of millions of small businesses in the U.S. remain largely unaffected by disputes over social issues, Morris said.

“For most businesses, if you’re running a transport business or running a hardware store or whatever it is, those issues don’t interfere with how you run the business,” he said.

Still, a broad set of businesses and community groups has stood in support of small businesses harmed by the nation’s ongoing fight over social issues, said Nelson, of the National LGBT Chamber of Commerce.

“The opposition is trying to lean in and divide and polarize,” Nelson said. “And what we’re seeing is an outpouring of support.”

 

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